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Robust, Accurate Stochastic Optimization for Variational Inference

Neural Information Processing Systems

We examine the accuracy of black box variational posterior approximations for parametric models in a probabilistic programming context. The performance of these approximations depends on (1) how well the variational family approximates the true posterior distribution, (2) the choice of divergence, and (3) the optimization of the variational objective. We show that even when the true variational family is used, high-dimensional posteriors can be very poorly approximated using common stochastic gradient descent (SGD) optimizers. Motivated by recent theory, we propose a simple and parallel way to improve SGD estimates for variational inference. The approach is theoretically motivated and comes with a diagnostic for convergence and a novel stopping rule, which is robust to noisy objective functions evaluations. We show empirically, the new workflow works well on a diverse set of models and datasets, or warns if the stochastic optimization fails or if the used variational distribution is not good.


Tokyo couple die in sauna fire after being trapped inside

BBC News

A husband and wife have died after being trapped in a private sauna room that caught fire in Japan on Monday. Tokyo police are investigating whether a faulty doorknob trapped the couple inside the room at Sauna Tiger, in the city's Akasaka district, local media has reported. Investigators also found that the facility's emergency alarm system was switched off, and allegedly had been for two years. We offer our deepest condolences... and our heartfelt sympathies for the deep grief and pain that cannot be expressed in words, Sauna Tiger said in a statement on its website. The victims have been named by local media as Yoko Matsuda, a 37-year-old nail artist, and her husband Masanari, 36, who ran a beauty salon.


ALIGN: A Vision-Language Framework for High-Accuracy Accident Location Inference through Geo-Spatial Neural Reasoning

Chowdhury, MD Thamed Bin Zaman, Hossain, Moazzem

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

ABSTRACT Reliable geospatial information on road accidents is vital for safety analysis and infrastructure planning, yet most low-and middle-income countries continue to face a critical shortage of accurate, location-specific crash data. Existing text-based geocoding tools perform poorly in multilingual and unstructured news environments, where incomplete place descriptions and mixed language (e.g. To address these limitations, this study introduces ALIGN (Accident Location Inference through Geo-Spatial Neural Reasoning) -- a vision-language framework that emulates human spatial reasoning to infer accident location coordinates directly from available textual and map-based cues. ALIGN integrates large language and vision-language model mechanisms within a multi-stage pipeline that performs optical character recognition, linguistic reasoning, and map-level verification through grid-based spatial scanning. The framework systematically evaluates each predicted location against contextual and visual evidence, ensuring interpretable, fine-grained geolocation outcomes without requiring model retraining. Applied to Bangla-language news data source, ALIGN demonstrates consistent improvements over traditional geoparsing methods, accurately identifying district-and sub-district-level crash sites. Beyond its technical contribution, the framework establishes a high accuracy foundation for automated crash mapping in data-scarce regions, supporting evidence-driven road-safety policymaking and the broader integration of multimodal artificial intelligence in transportation analytics. Hossain) 1. Introduction Accurate, fine-grained geospatial data is the bedrock of effective public safety policy, urban planning, and strategic response. For road safety, knowing the precise location of traffic crashes is essential for diagnosing high-risk black spots, deploying emergency services, and evaluating the impact of engineering interventions. While high-income nations increasingly rely on robust, integrated crash databases and vehicle telematics (Guo, Qian, & Shi, 2022; Szpytko & Nasan Agha, 2020), utilizing advanced methods such as deep learning on multi-vehicle trajectories (Yang et al., 2021), ensemble models integrating connected vehicle data (Yang et al., 2026), and 2 probe vehicle speed contour analysis (Wang et al., 2021), a significant'geospatial data desert' persists in most Low-and Middle-Income Countries (LMICs) (Mitra & Bhalla, 2023; Chang et al., 2020). This gap is particularly tragic given that these regions bear the overwhelming brunt of global road traffic fatalities. This research focuses on a low-resource country-Bangladesh, a nation that exemplifies this critical data-sparse challenge. The World Bank has estimated that the costs associated with traffic crashes can amount to as much as 5.1% of the country's Gross Domestic Product (World Bank, 2022).